The conventional wisdom regarding the race to fill George Latimer’s vacant senate seat is that Assemblywoman Shelley Mayer has the edge in a special election this spring.
Democrats have a large enrollment edge in the district, enthusiasm nationally is on their side and Mayer is a household name in part of the county. But there is hope for Julie Killian and Republicans – and it comes from the makeup of special election voters.
Special elections are notoriously hard to poll because it’s difficult to accurately predict who will vote. (This was covered in a previous episode of Poozer Politics.) But it’s not impossible to sketch a pretty good picture of what the electorate will look like. Continue reading “The Republican Case for Westchester”
What can’t Google do?
Well, at this time, it might not be the best source for election poll information, according to Dr. Don Levy, director of the Siena Research Institute.
He joined Poozer Politics to talk about the benefits and challenges of online surveys, including the possibility of Facebook polls, and explored the generic ballot question, which pollsters use to predict control of Congress.
Levy also hinted at an exciting new project for the Siena Research Institute and the first Poozer Politics poll is teased.
Don’t miss previous conversations with Levy, including an episode on likely voters and an episode that addressed the future of polling. Continue reading “(Google) Survey Says…”
This is the second and final installment of a conversation with Dr. Don Levy, the director of the Siena Research Institute. We covered their miss in the Rochester mayoral race, the challenges of special election polls and a possible future of polling that doesn’t involve contacting voters at all. Continue reading “The Problems of Polling”
Dr. Don Levy, the director of the Siena Research Institute, talked with Poozer Politics about determining who is a likely voter, Carl Paladino’s bold election claims in 2010 and the future of polling. Continue reading “Are You a Likely Voter?”